Captain Jarrod Croker and Josh Papalii are out for the Raiders, although they do get back Bailey Simonsson, Dunamis Lui and Joe Tapine. With no changes to the Rabbitohs, the model ranks them much higher than the Raiders, even against the home ground advantage. With the line at only -3.5 for the Rabbitohs it's just too good pass up on especially with the $2 lines only on Thursday and Friday. Also, similarly to last week, the Rabbitohs hold a massive advantage in the second half, and with the 2nd half line at -1.5 there is plenty of value.

George Jennings and Nelson Asofa-Solomona are both out for the Storm, with Ryan Papenhuyzen still missing. The Sharks are missing Jesse Ramien and Siosifa Talakai, with former Storm centre Will Chambers debuting for the Sharks in place for Ramien. Both teams have 2nd Rowers playing centre in Tom Eisenhuth for the Storm and Teig Wilton for the Sharks. I like the Sharks at either $7 for the win or +17.5 in the line, but the Sharks have been underperforming since they lost they lost their head coach John Morris, so I'll leave this one alone.

Broncos replace Croft and Deardan with Milford and Tyson Gamble in the halves although I won't be suprised if Brodie Croft plays instead of Tyson Gamble. They have also replaced David Mead with Jesse Arthars in the centres. Titans are missing Patrick Herbert, and Sam Lisone, but with Anthony Don back that pushes Phillip Sami to the centres in place of Patrick Herbert so the Don can be on the wing, also Herman Ese'ese makes his Titans debut on the bench. Every second week the Broncos perform horribly when they're away from Suncorp, and then they suprise everyone with a good performance at home, like when they were the only team to beat Penrith in the first half. Both teams prefer the first half and tend to drop off in second, so the best bet would bet would be Broncos line of +10.5, considering they only lost by 12 points the last time they played the Titans, and now with the home ground advantage they have a good chance of getting it done.

Api Koroisau is back for the Panthers, with no changes for the Sea Eagles. Model ranks the Panthers way ahead of the Sea Eagles, but the recent turn around for Manly assisted by the return of Turbo, there is some value on the Sea Eagles at $5.50, plus we’ve been betting against Penrith the last couple weeks, and I don’t want to miss out on their first loss.

Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is back for the Bulldogs,and Ryan Matterson makes his return to the Eels side on the bench nonetheless. The Eels are heavily ranked above the Bulldogs, and even more so in the second half. What’s even better is that the Bulldogs are only just ranked behind the Eels in the first half. So, a nice little multi on Sportsbet gets us some good odds, with good relative confidence.

The Roosters loose James Tedesco, which sees Joey Manu go to fullback, Brett Morris to centre, and Matt Ikavalu to the wing, although with Joseph Suaalii on the extended bench, I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes to centre or fullback.before kickoff with the expense of Matt Ikavalu. Similar to the previous game the Knights have a good first half record, and the Roosters have the Knights well covered in the second half, but this one will be closer than the previous game.

Cowboys get Taumalolo back, and the Warriors push RTS back to fullback with Reece Walsh going to five-eigth. Warriors have a good 2nd half advantage over the Cowboys which leads to a nice multi.

Ben Hunt is back for the Dragons with Jordan Pereira and Mikaele Ravalawa missing. The Tigers swap out James Roberts with Joey Leilua. While the Tigers can be a bit of a wildcard, Dragons at -8 with Ben Hunt back is too good to miss.