2021 NRL Round 7 Tips
22/4/2021 - Updated 25/4/2021
Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.
This Weeks Tips!
| Bet Type | Team | Stake/ Units | Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2H | Knights | 1 | $9.00 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 2* | 1.5 | $3.00 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 3* | 1 | $3.80 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 7* | 0.5 | $3.50 | Sportsbet |
| ...... | ||||
| Total Stake: | 4 | Profit/ Loss: | 0.5 |
Game 1: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights
Thursday 7:50pm AEST
Penrith deserve to be favourites as the only team still undefeated, but at $9.00 there is some value on the Knights
Bet tips: • Knights H2H at $9.00 on Sportsbet - 18% chance
Game 2: Gold Coast Titans vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Friday 6:00pm AEST
The Titans are missing Tino to suspension but they get back Anthony Don on the wing. The Rabbitohs have lost fullback Latrell Mitchell to suspension and Josh Mansour is missing as well, coming on for them is Jaxon Paulo and Steven Marsters. The players coming in and out definitly favours the Titans, and with the undefeated home ground advantage at CBUS its too difficult to bet straight on the Rabbitohs. The model has found that the Titans nearly match the Rabbitohs in the first half, and the Rabbitohs are a much better second half team. So a multi with the Titans +7.5 in the first Half and the Rabbitohs -3.5 in the 2nd Half paying $3.00 looks like some good value.
Bet tips: • Multi - Titans +7.5 1st Half Line and Rabbitohs -3.5 2nd Half Line at $3.00 on Sportsbet - 40% chance
Game 3: Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos
Friday 7:55pm AEST
Herbie Farnworth is back for the Broncos and the Eels are unchanged heading into the match. Whilst it's not a good idea to bet on the Broncos away from Suncorp, the model has found an opportunity similar to the previous match, where the Broncos can keep up with the big teams at half time, and Eels have been finishing games very strong as well.
Bet tips: • Multi - Broncos +6.5 1st Half Line and Eels -6.5 2nd Half Line at $3.80 on Sportsbet - 35% chance
Game 4: Cronulla Sharks vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Saturday 5:30pm AEST
Sharks definitly deserve to be favourites but at $1.12 there is no value, at -16.5 there could be a play but I don't trust the Sharks post John Morris.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 5: North QLD Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders
Saturday 7:35pm AEST
Both sides too unpredictable to confidently bet on either side.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 6: Wests Tigers vs Manly Sea Eagles
Sunday 1:45pm AEST
Again, Tigers too unpredictable to confidently bet on or against them.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 7: Sydney Roosters vs St-George Dragons
Sunday 4:05pm AEST
Sam Verrils, and Brett Morris are back for the Roosters, with Taukeiaho out due to fractured ribs. The dragons are missing Trent Merrin who recently retired, coming in for him is Blake Lawrie. The model sees another potential 1st half 2nd half advantage, with the Dragons rated slightly above the Roosters for the first half, and the Roosters are highly rated over the Dragons in the second.
Bet tips: Multi - Dragons +6.5 1st Half Line and Roosters -4.5 2nd Half Line at $3.5 on Sportsbet - 38% chance
Game 8: Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors
Saturday 6:15pm AEST
Not enough value on this one to bet.
Bet tips: No bets