2021 NRL Round 21 Tips
6/8/2021
Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.
This Weeks Tips!
| Bet Type | Team | Stake/ Units | Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Line | Eels +10.5 | 1.5 | $2.00 | Neds/ Ladbrokes |
| Multi | *See Game 3* | 1 | $3.80 | Sportsbet |
| 1st Half Line | Sharks -2.5 | 1.5 | $1.88 | Neds/ Ladbrokes |
| 2nd Half Line | Warriors +3.5 | 1.5 | $1.99 | Sportsbet |
| H2H | Roosters | 1 | $3.05 | Sportsbet |
| Lead after 20 mins | Storm | 1.5 | $1.48 | Sportsbet |
| 2nd Half H2H | Tigers | 1.5 | $1.48 | Neds |
| ...... | ||||
| Total Stake: | 9.5 | Profit/ Loss: | 0.745 |
Game 1: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos
Thursday 7:50pm AEST
No Bets.
Bet tips: No Bets
Game 2: Canberra Raiders vs St-George Dragons
Friday 6:00pm AEST
No value on either side.
Bet tips: No Bets
Game 3: Parramatta Eels vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Friday 8:05pm AEST
The Eels finally get back Mitchell Moses, however they lose Blake Ferguson and Regan Campbell-Gillard. The Rabbitohs get back Benji Marshall, Cameron Murray, and Tevita Tatola. The Eels have been down on form which can partially be put down to Mitchell Moses being missing, while the Rabbitohs have been doing well on form, but they haven’t played a team in the top 6 since round 12. The Eels still prefer the second half and the Rabbitohs have been known to drop out of games after winning the first half.
Bet tips: • Eels +10.5 Line at $2.00 on Neds/ Ladbrokes – 50% Chance
• Multi – Rabbitohs H2H and Eels +5.5 2nd Half Line at $3.80 on Sportsbet – 29% Chance
Game 4: New Zealand Warriors vs Cronulla Sharks
Saturday 3:00pm AEST
The Warriors get back Addin Fonua-Blake, Chanel Harris-Tavita, Edward Kosi, Josh Curran and Matthew Lodge, but lose Adam Pompey and Ben Murdoch-Masila, while the Sharks welcome Jesse Ramien back into their side. The Warriors have a good Second Half advantage and the Sharks have a good first half advantage.
Bet tips: • Sharks -2.5 at $1.88 on Neds/ Ladbrokes – 56% Chance
• Warriors +3.5 2nd Half Line at $1.99 on Sportsbet – 56% Chance
Game 5: Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers
Saturday 5:30pm AEST
Roosters are missing Josh Morris while the Panthers are still missing Nathan Cleary. The teams should match evenly I’d give it a 50% chance for either team to win, so the underdog is always the play in this case.
Bet tips: • Roosters at $3.05 on Sportsbet – 50% Chance
Game 6: Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm
Saturday 7:35pm AEST
Melbourne are missing Felise Kaufusi and Manly are missing Curtis Sironen. Melbourne Have a good 1st Half advantage, however this can be seen usually in the first 20 minutes, as Manly usually finish strong but start slow.
Bet tips: • Storm Leading after 20 mins at $1.48 on Sportsbet – 69% Chance
Game 7: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Wests Tigers
Sunday 1:50pm AEST
Tigers lose Daine Laurie heading into the game. The Tigers have a good 2nd advantage which we’ll make a play on.
Bet tips: • Tigers 2nd Half H2H at $1.48 on Neds – 69% Chance
Game 8: North QLD Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans
Sunday 4:05pm AEST
The Titans get back Patrick Herbert but lose Tyrone Peachy, while the Cowboys get Valentine Holmes into their side. The Titans do have a first half advantage but there is not enough value to put anything on it.
Bet tips: No bets