2021 NRL Round 20 Tips
29/7/2021
Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.
This Weeks Tips!
Bet Type | Team | Stake/ Units | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|
Line | Eels -2.5 | 1.5 | $2.00 | Neds |
2nd Half Line | Tigers -3.5 | 1.5 | $1.88 | Sportsbet |
1st Half Line | Broncos -0.5 | 1.5 | $1.91 | Sportsbet |
H2H | Raiders | 2 | $1.70 | Neds/ Ladbrokes |
Mutli | *See game 5* | 2 | $2.00 | Sportsbet |
Mutli | *See game 7* | 2 | $1.61 | Sportsbet |
2nd Half Line | Sea Eagles -10.5 | 0.5 | $1.95 | Sportsbet |
...... | ||||
Total Stake: | 11 | Profit/ Loss: | 0.06 |
Game 1: Sydney Roosters vs Parramatta Eels
Thursday 7:50pm AEST
The Roosters lose outside backs Billy Smith and Matt Ikuvalu to injuries, but Josh Morris and Siosiua Taukeiaho come back into the squad, while the Eels get back Tom Opacic. The Eels are surprisingly ranked above the Roosters in all categories including form and both 1st Half and 2nd Half.
Bet tips: • Eels -2.5 Line at $2.00 on Neds - 53% Chance
Game 2: Wests Tigers vs New Zealand Warriors
Friday 6:00pm AEST
The Tigers get back Alex Twal, while the Warriors lose Addin Fonua-Blake, Chad Townsend, Jack Murchie, Josh Curran, Leeson Ah Mau and Matthew Lodge but they do get back Ben Murdoch-Masila, Jamayne Taunoa-Brown, Kane Evans and Peta Hiku. The Tigers have a good 2nd half advantage over the Warriors which is what we’ll look to for the bets.
Bet tips: • Tigers -3.5 2nd Half Line at $1.88 on Sportsbet – 60% Chance
Game 3: Brisbane Broncos vs North QLD Cowboys
Friday 7:55pm AEST
Both teams are the same heading into this one. The Broncos have a good 1st half advantage, especially at home against the Cowboys.
Bet tips: • Broncos -0.5 1st Half Line at $1.91 on Sportsbet – 59% Chance
Game 4: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders
Sunday 1:50pm AEST
The Knights get Bradman Best and David Klemmer back into the side, while the Raiders get Elliott Whitehead and Jack Wighton back into their team. Raiders have a good advantage overall, and while the Knights have an advantage in the second half overall, based on form the Raiders are actually better than the Knights.
Bet tips: • Raiders H2H at $1.70 on Neds/ Ladbrokes – 60% Chance
Game 5: Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers
Sunday 4:05pm AEST
The Storm welcome back Cameron Munster, Dale Finucane, Felise Kaufusi and Harry Grant but they lose Nelson Asofa-Solomona and Tui Kamikamica. The Panthers lose Brian To'o, Isaah Yeo, James Fisher-Harris and Tyrone May, with Nathan Clearly and Api Koroisau also still missing. The Storm have a good first half advantage going into the game.
Bet tips: • Multi – Storm H2H and Storm -8.5 1st Half Line at $2.00 odds on Sportsbet – 55% Chance
Game 6: St-George Dragons vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Sunday 6:25pm AEST
The Dragons lose Blake Lawrie, Jack Bird, Jack De Belin, Josh McGuire, and Matthew Dufty however they get back Billy Burns, Corey Norman, and Tyrell Sloan, while the Rabbitohs lose Cameron Murray. No value in this one.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 7: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Titans
Monday 6:00pm AEST
The Bulldogs lose Luke Thompson but they get back Adam Elliot, while the Titans lose Patrick Herbert. The Titans have a good enough advantage to justify the low odds.
Multi – Titans H2H and Titans -0.5 1st Half Line at $1.61 on Sportsbet – 65% Chance
Game 8: Cronulla Sharks vs Manly Sea Eagles
Monday 8:05pm AEST
Sharks lose Jesse Ramien, Mawene Hiroti and Shaun Johnson, while Manly are the same as last week. A good second half advantage for the Sea Eagles looks a like a good play.
Sea Eagles -10.5 2nd Half Line at $1.95 on Sportsbet – 55% Chance