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2021 NRL Round 19 Tips

22/7/2021

Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.

This Weeks Tips!

Bet Type Team Stake/ Units Odds Bookie
2nd Half Line Eels -7.5 1.5 $1.80 Neds
Multi *See game 2* 1 $3.14 Sportsbet
Line Warriors +20.5 1 $1.90 Sportsbet/ Neds
2nd Half Line Panthers -10.5 2 $1.90 Neds
H2H Bulldogs 1 $3.75 Neds
2nd Half H2H Bulldogs 2 $3.25 Neds
......
Total Stake: 8.5 Profit/ Loss: -2

Game 1: Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders

Thursday 7:50pm AEST

The Eels are still Missing Mitchell Moses but they do get back Junior Paulo and the Raiders are missing Jack Wighton and Xavier Savage to injury. The Eels have a massive 2nd Half advantage over the Raiders overall and on form, even though the Raiders did well in the 2nd half last week and the Eels did not I still believe that the Eels should perform better in the second half.

Bet tips: • Eels -7.5 2nd Half Line at $1.80 on Neds - 59% Chance

Game 2: Sydney Roosters vs Newcastle Knights

Friday 6:00pm AEST

The Roosters get James Tedesco back from Origin which pushes Joe Manu back to the centres which means that Josh Morris misses out, the Knights lose David Klemmer and Lachlan Fitzgibbon but they do get back Daniel Saifiti and Sauaso Sue. For this game we look to our multi which has served us well.

Bet tips: • Multi - Roosters H2H and Knights +6.5 2nd Half Line at $3.14 on Sportsbet - 39% Chance

Game 3: North QLD Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm

Friday 7:55pm AEST

No Bets.

Bet tips: No Bets

Game 4: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors

Saturday 3:00pm AEST

Rabbitohs lose Alex Johnston, Campbell Graham and Liam Knight but get back Jai Arrow, Josh Mansour and Latrell Mitchell. The Warriors lose Rocco Berry, Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, Tohu Harris and Wayde Egan but get back Adam Pompey, Bunty Afoa and Edward Kosi. The Rabbitohs have the advantage but not by enough to justify a +20.5 line.

Bet tips: • Warriors +20.5 at $1.90 on Sportsbet/ Neds/ Ladbrokes - 55% Chance

Game 5: Manly Sea Eagles vs Wests Tigers

Saturday 5:30pm AEST

Both teams prefer the 2nd half and the Tigers are too unpredictable.

Bet tips: No bets

Game 6: Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos

Saturday 7:35pm AEST

Panthers get back Jarome Luai but lose Api Koroisau while the Broncos remain the same as last week. The Panthers have a huge advantage in the second half which is where we’ll look to for our bets.

Bet tips: • Panthers -10.5 2nd Half Line at $1.90 on Neds - 56% Chance

Game 7: St-George Dragons vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday 1:50pm AEST

Both Teams missing players, the bookies got the odds right on this one $1.55 is not enough for the Titans, while even at $2.45 you can’t trust the Dragons with all their players missing.

Bet tips: No bets

Game 8: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Cronulla Sharks

Sunday 4:05pm AEST

The Bulldogs get back Jeremy Marshall-King, Joe Stimson and Renouf Atoni, while the Sharks replace Aiden Tolman and Teig Wilton with Andrew Fifita and Luke Metcalf. The Sharks have the slight advantage overall but the model has the Bulldogs over the Sharks on form, and with a nice underdog price tag the Bulldogs look like a good bet.

Bet tips: • Bulldogs H2H at $3.75 on Neds - 42% Chance

                 • Bulldogs 2nd Half H2H at $3.25 on Neds - 47% Chance