2021 NRL Round 18 Tips
16/7/2021
Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.
This Weeks Tips!
| Bet Type | Team | Stake/ Units | Odds | Bookie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd Half Line | Eels -1.5 | 1.5 | $1.87 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 1* | 1 | $2.80 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 3* | 1 | $2.11 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 3* | 0.5 | $4.00 | Sportsbet |
| Multi | *See Game 5* | 1 | $2.71 | Sportsbet |
| 2nd Half Line | Panthers -4.5 | 2.5 | $1.91 | Neds |
| 2nd Half H2H | Tigers | 1 | $1.98 | Neds |
| ...... | ||||
| Total Stake: | 8.5 | Profit/ Loss: | -1.745 |
Game 1: Gold Coast Titans vs Parramatta Eels
Friday 6:00pm AEST
Titans are unchanged playing the Eels who are missing origin players Mitchell Moses and Junior Paulo, but they do get back hooker Reed Mahoney. The Eels have an overall advantage but that is much closer when comparing the form, also the first half is pretty much equal while the Eels have the clear 2nd half advantage.
Bet tips: • Eels -1.5 2nd Half Line at $1.87 on Neds - 55% Chance
• Multi - Titans H2H and Titans +2.5 1st Half Line at $2.8 on Sportsbet - 39% Chance
Game 2: Manly Sea Eagles vs St-George Dragons
Friday 8:05pm AEST
Manly are missing Daly Cherry-Evans and Tom Trbojevic but Josh Schuster does come back into the side. The Dragons are missing half of the infamous BBQ crew including Daniel Alvaro, Matthew Dufty, Paul Vaughan and Tyrell Fuimaono. The missing players on both sides means this game is too unpredictable to make a bet, although usually you would go with the underdog in this case.
Bet tips: No Bets
Game 3: North QLD Cowboys vs Sydney Roosters
Saturday 3:00pm AEST
Both teams are missing their fullbacks in Valentine Holmes for the Cowboys and James Tedesco for the Roosters. The Roosters have a good overall advantage and a better 1st half advantage, but the Cowboys have a good record at home with the Roosters having a poor record away.
Bet tips: • Multi - Roosters H2H and Roosters -5.5 1st Half Line at $2.11 on Sportsbet - 50% Chance
• Multi - Roosters H2H and Cowboys +5.5 2nd Half Line at $4 on Sportsbet - 30% Chance
Game 4: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks
Saturday 5:30pm AEST
No bets.
Bet tips: No Bets
Game 5: Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights
Saturday 7:35pm AEST
No Josh Addo-Carr or Christian Welch for the Storm and no Mitchell Pearce for the Knights but they do get Tyson Frizell back.
Bet tips: • Multi - Storm H2H and Knights +8.5 2nd Half Line at $2.71 on Sportsbet - 40% Chance
Game 6: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
Sunday 1:50pm AEST
The Warriors get back Chad Townsend, Euan Aitken, Josh Curran and Tohu Harris, but lose Ben Murdoch-Masila and Bunty Afoa. The Panthers lose Jarome Luai but Dylan Edwards makes a return. While the Warriors have been a 2nd half team all year but not as of late, and with Api Koroisau starting on the bench, the Panthers should have a good 2nd half advantage.
Bet tips: • Panthers -4.5 2nd Half Line at $1.91 on Neds - 56% Chance
Game 7: Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers
Sunday 4:05pm AEST
The Broncos get Tom Flegler back from Origin, while the Tigers get Tommy Talau back. The model ranks the Tigers ahead of the Broncos overall, but with the home ground advantage the Broncos are slightly ahead of the Tigers but not in the 2nd Half.
Bet tips: • Tigers 2nd Half H2H at $1.98 on Neds - 60% Chance
Game 8: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Sunday 6:15pm AEST
No value here.
Bet tips: No Bets