2021 NRL Round 15 Tips
17/6/2021
Free NRL tips generated by a model that uses expected return to ensure that profit is likely made in the long run.
This Weeks Tips!
Bet Type | Team | Stake/ Units | Odds | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|
Multi | *See Game 1* | 1.5 | $2.00 | Sportsbet |
1st Half Line | Sharks +1.5 | 0.5 | $1.90 | Sportsbet |
Multi | *See Game 2* | 0.5 | $2.05 | Sportsbet |
Multi | *See Game 2* | 0.5 | $9.40 | Sportsbet |
H2H | Warriors | 1 | $2.00 | Palmerbet |
Multi | *See Game 5* | 0.5 | $4.70 | Sportsbet |
...... | ||||
Total Stake: | 4.5 | Profit/ Loss: | 5.175 |
Game 1: Brisbane Broncos vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
Thursday 7:50pm AEST
The Broncos get back Xavier Coates, while the Rabbitohs get back Origin players Cameron Murray, Damien Cook, Dane Gagai and Jai Arrow. The model has the Rabbitohs well over the Broncos especially in the second half and although Suncorp has taken the Broncos to the next level, it hasn’t happened lately. The Rabbitohs did well last week and should be even better this week with four Origin players back.
Bet tips: • Multi - Rabbitohs -10.5 2nd Half Line and Rabbitohs H2H and Rabbitohs +0.5 Line at $2.00 on Sportsbet - 53% Chance
Game 2: North QLD Cowboys vs Cronulla Sharks
Friday 6:00pm AEST
The Cowboys get Kyle Feldt back from Origin as the Sharks lose Wade Graham. The model has the Sharks over the Cowboys however, the Cowboys home ground advantage and the Sharks being away, have the Cowboys ahead of the Sharks, so it could be anyone's game. The model has also found a nice first half advantage for the Sharks and second half advantage for the Cowboys.
Bet tips: • Sharks +1.5 1st Half Line at $1.90 on Sportsbet - 56% Chance
                 • Multi - Cowboys -0.5 2nd Half Line and Cowboys +23.5 Line at $2.05 on Sportsbet - 55% Chance
                 • Multi - Sharks H2H and Sharks +0.5 1st Half Line and Cowboys -0.5 2nd Half Line at $9.40 on Sportsbet - 20% Chance
Game 3: Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters
Friday 7:55pm AEST
No value.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 4: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors
Saturday 3:00pm AEST
The Knights lose Bradman Best and Tex Hoy, and Kalyn Ponga is still out, but David Klemmer, Hymel Hunt and Mitchell Pearce do come into the side. The Warriors lose Chanel Harris-Tavita, Jack Murchie, Ken Maumalo and Wayde Egan, but Adam Pompey, Eliesa Katoa, Reece Walsh and Sean O'Sullivan do come into the side. While the Knights finally get Mitchell Pearce back, it was also expected that Kalyn Ponga comes back as well. The Warriors lose Chanel Harris-Tavita, but a timely return for Reece Walsh fixes that situation. The model has the Warriors over the Knights, the only concern is the Home ground advantage, but at $2 I believe the Warriors are a good bet.
Bet tips: • Warriors H2H at $2.00 on Palmerbet - 53% Chance
Game 5: St-George Dragons vs Canberra Raiders
Saturday 5:30pm AEST
No big changes to either side, the model has the Raiders as the deserving favourites with a good 2nd half advantage for the Dragons.
Bet tips: • Multi - Raiders H2H and Dragons +2.5 2nd Half Line and Raiders +0.5 Line at $4.70 on Sportsbet - 25% Chance
Game 6: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers
Saturday 7:35pm AEST
No value here.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 7: Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury Bulldogs
Sunday 2:00pm AEST
With the Eels at $1.08 there's no value in this one.
Bet tips: No bets
Game 8: Gold Coast Titans vs Manly Sea Eagles
Sunday 4:05pm AEST
No bets
Bet tips: No bets